2025 Players Championship: Analysis of Odds, Predictions, and Top Picks

• The Players Championship tees off Thursday, March 13th, 2025
• Scottie Scheffler is the heavy +360 favorite to win this tournament for the third straight year
• See the 2025 Players Championship odds, picks, and best value bets below

After Russell Henley won the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill, the PGA Tour’s best head to Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida for the “fifth major” – the Players Championship. It’s the crown jewel on the schedule, and the field is stacked as it tackles the quirky and confounding TPC Sawgrass, with Scottie Scheffler searching for a record third straight title at this tournament. 48 of the top 50 golfers in the world will be teeing it up (not Bryson DeChambeau or Tyrrell Hatton).

The Players Championship Odds 2025

Scheffler is a heavy +360 favorite, in his pursuit for a record third straight Players title. He’s not found the winners circle in four starts this season. He’s followed by 2019 champion Rory McIlroy, who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this season. Collin Morikawa, who came up agonizingly close at the Arnold Palmer Invitational Sunday, is tied for the third shortest odds with Xander Schauffele. Ludvig Aberg and Justin Thomas round out the top-five.

Odds as of March 9 at DraftKings. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on The Players Championship. 

Hideki Matsuyama A Strong Contender

2021 Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama always finds himself comfortable at the unpredictable TPC Sawgrass venue. In nine career starts, he’s racked up seven top-25’s, with a fifth place showing in 2023 and a tie for sixth last year. In the last 24 rounds at this track, Matsuyama is first in total strokes gained and ball striking.

Past Five The Players Championship Winners

He was also the first round leader at the 2020 edition of this championship, but that tournament was wiped out due to COVID-19 after that opening day. This season, the eleven-time PGA Tour champ has tasted victory at the Sentry, and has four top-25’s in the six events after that. He’s +2800 to win outright and to me, that’s quite easily digestible, with six players sporting shorter odds to win than him.

The Players Championship 2025 Picks & Value Bets

1. Sepp Straka +6000: The big Austrian has won this season (The American Express), and has also posted four top-15s in his five events since, and is coming off a tie for fifth at Bay Hill. He’s second in total strokes gained the last 24 rounds on the circuit.
2. Michael Kim +9000: Michael Kim has been playing some phenomenal golf of late, going runner-up, a pair of top-15’s, T-6th, then fourth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. In the last 24 rounds, he’s tops in strokes gained: tee-to-green.
3. Justin Rose +12000: Justin Rose will be a very intriguing pick in the top 5/10/20 markets. He’s coming off a T-8th at Bay Hill, and was tied for third at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am two starts before that. Was tied for sixth at the Players in 2023.

The Players Championship is one of the most prestigious tournaments in golf, attracting top players from around the world to compete for the title. As we look ahead to the 2025 Players Championship, fans and analysts are already buzzing about who will come out on top. With the tournament set to take place at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, there are a number of factors to consider when making predictions and analyzing the odds.

One of the key factors to consider when looking at the odds for the 2025 Players Championship is the course itself. TPC Sawgrass is known for its challenging layout, particularly the infamous 17th hole, a par-3 island green that has been the downfall of many a player over the years. Players who can navigate the course successfully and avoid the hazards will have a better chance of coming out on top.

Another important factor to consider when making predictions for the 2025 Players Championship is the form of the players themselves. Golf is a game of momentum, and players who are in good form leading up to the tournament are more likely to perform well once they arrive at TPC Sawgrass. Keep an eye on players who have been playing consistently well in recent tournaments, as they may be poised for a strong showing at the Players Championship.

When it comes to making top picks for the 2025 Players Championship, there are a number of players who are likely to be in contention. Defending champion Jon Rahm will undoubtedly be one of the favorites, as he has proven himself to be a formidable competitor on any course. Other top players to watch include Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, and Jordan Spieth, all of whom have had success at TPC Sawgrass in the past.

In addition to these established stars, there are also a number of up-and-coming players who could make a splash at the 2025 Players Championship. Keep an eye on young talents like Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland, and Matthew Wolff, who have all shown flashes of brilliance on the PGA Tour and could be poised for breakout performances at TPC Sawgrass.

Ultimately, predicting the outcome of a golf tournament is always a challenge, as anything can happen over the course of four rounds of play. However, by considering factors like course layout, player form, and past performances, fans and analysts can make informed predictions and identify top picks for the 2025 Players Championship. With so much talent in the field and so many variables at play, one thing is for certain: the 2025 Players Championship is sure to be an exciting and unpredictable event for golf fans around the world.