2025 NFL Win Totals: Analysis of Over/Unders and Early Value Opportunities

• 2025 NFL Win Totals are live with the Eagles, Chiefs, Bills and Ravens opening at 11.5 wins
• The Lions win total sits at 10.5, a number they’ve cleared in back-to-back seasons
• See all the Opening 2025 NFL Win Totals below, plus the best early bets to make

The NFL season hasn’t released its schedule for the 2025 season yet, but that hasn’t stopped online sportsbooks from posting win total odds. We know who will be playing who for 16 of each team’s 17 games, and the division of the opponent for the remaining contest.

Not surprisingly, the teams with the highest win total projections are the top-four favorites to win Super Bowl 60. The Eagles, Chiefs, Bills and Ravens all opened at 11.5 wins. Philly, KC and Baltimore haven’t taken enough action to drastically swing their odds yet, but the same cannot be said for Buffalo.

NFL Win Totals Betting Odds

The Bills NFL win total odds are already heavily juiced to the over at -145. I would love to grab the under in this spot, but the lack of competition inside the division is concerning. On the flip side, no team opened with a lower win total than the Browns. Cleveland’s projection sits at 4.5, although the juice is shaded to the over.

Odds as of April 4th. Claim the DraftKings promo code before making any NFL futures bets.

NFL Win Totals Bet #1: Detroit Lions Over 10.5 Wins

The first NFL win totals bet I’m looking to make is over 10.5 wins for the Lions. This is a team that deserves to be in the same tier as the top-four. Detroit matched the Chiefs with a league-high 15 wins last season, despite playing in the toughest conference in the NFL.

The Lions swept fellow playoff teams Minnesota and Green Bay, as well as Chicago. They were the number one scoring offense in the league, and reached 15 wins despite being decimated by injuries on defense. No team lost more man games on defense than Detroit, with key starters going down at every defensive position group. Most notably, they lost Aidan Hutchinson to a season-ending injury; he was on pace to win DPOY.

The defense should be back to full strength come September, and the offense remains the most explosive in the league. Jared Goff was a legit MVP candidate a season ago, and I’m not fazed by both of their co-ordinators leaving.

The Lions replaced Ben Johnson with former offensive assistant John Morton. He was the Broncos’ pass game coordinator under Sean Payton last season, and there’s arguably no one better to study under than him. On the other side of the ball, they elevated Kelvin Sheppard to DC, who’s been with the team for five years.

As for their tough schedule, don’t panic. The Packers didn’t beat a single NFC playoff team last year, while the Vikings are rolling with a first-year quarterback. The Lions are 10-2 versus divisional opponents over the last two years, and also draw the AFC North. That division isn’t nearly as opposing as it once was outside of Baltimore. The Steelers best best-case QB scenario is a washed-up Aaron Rodgers. Cincinnati can’t afford to field a balanced roster after overpaying its wideouts, and Cleveland projects to be the worst team in football.

NFL Win Totals Bet #2: Denver Broncos Over 9.5 Wins

My second favorite NFL win totals bet is over 9.5 victories for the Broncos. Denver reached 10 wins in Bo Nix’s rookie campaign, and the arrow is pointing up on this team. The Broncos finished sixth in total DVOA last season, and feature one of the most complete rosters on both sides of the ball.

Payton had Nix operating the offense like a well-oiled machine by the end of the year, while the defense has studs at the premium positions. Patrick Surtain is the best cover corner in the league, while the pass rush anchored by Nik Bonitto, Jonathon Cooper and Zach Allen, finished second in pressure rate.

Yes, the AFC West is loaded, but the Broncos get a third-place schedule this season, something few other playoff teams can say. They also get to face the AFC South, which is by far the weakest division in football.

As we look ahead to the 2025 NFL season, one of the most popular ways for fans and bettors to get in on the action is by placing bets on win totals for each team. These over/under bets offer a unique opportunity to predict how many games a team will win during the regular season, and can provide some lucrative payouts for those who are able to accurately forecast a team’s performance.

When analyzing the 2025 NFL win totals, it’s important to consider a variety of factors that can impact a team’s success. This includes evaluating the strength of their schedule, the talent on their roster, coaching changes, and any key injuries or suspensions that may affect their performance. By taking all of these factors into account, bettors can make more informed decisions when placing their bets on win totals.

One team that may offer some early value opportunities in the 2025 NFL season is the Kansas City Chiefs. Led by star quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs have been one of the most dominant teams in the league in recent years. With a high-powered offense and a solid defense, the Chiefs are poised to continue their winning ways in 2025. Their win total may be set at a high number, but bettors who believe in the Chiefs’ ability to dominate the competition may find value in betting on them to exceed expectations.

On the other hand, there may be some teams that are being undervalued in the win totals market. For example, a team like the Detroit Lions, who have struggled in recent years, may have a lower win total than they deserve due to their past performance. However, with a new coaching staff in place and some key offseason acquisitions, the Lions could surprise bettors by exceeding expectations and winning more games than anticipated.

Overall, analyzing the 2025 NFL win totals requires a combination of research, intuition, and a bit of luck. By carefully evaluating each team’s strengths and weaknesses, bettors can identify potential value opportunities and make smart bets that could pay off big in the long run. As the season approaches, keep an eye on any changes in the odds and be prepared to adjust your bets accordingly to maximize your chances of success.