2024 ACC Showdown: Prediction, Odds & Spread for Clemson vs Pitt

• #20 Clemson plays Pitt in a big ACC showdown on Saturday, November 16
• The Tigers are 11.5-point favorites over the Panthers
• See below for the latest Clemson vs Pitt odds, predictions, and picks for CFB Week 12

Just a couple of weeks ago, this game would have looked a lot different. Clemson is still in the running to win the ACC as they are in second place, but they suffered a tough loss at home to Louisville two weeks ago. Then Pitt was 7-0 and the surprise team in the conference before dropping two in a row.

While it is not the ACC powerhouse matchup it would have been two weeks ago, this game is still important for both programs. Clemson wants to get to the ACC Championship game and make it into the CFP bracket, while Pitt is trying to get back to their winning ways.

Clemson vs Pitt Odds

The college football odds have the Clemson Tigers listed as 11.5-point road favorites. The line opened at Clemson -9 and has since moved to where it is now. The total has also moved considerably as the O/U was 56.5 before being bet down to 52.5.

Odds as of Friday, Nov. 15 at BetMGM. Check out BetMGM reviews or browse other top sports betting sites before locking in your CFB Week 12 bets. 

Clemson Betting Trends

Clemson heads into this game 7-2 straight up and 5-4 against the spread. The Tigers are currently sitting in second place in the ACC with a 6-1 record in conference play.

After a tough outing in Week 1 vs Georgia, the Tigers have seemed to figure it out. They won seven of their next eight and the offense has settled in behind quarterback Cade Klubnik and running back Phil Mafah. Klubnik has 24 passing touchdowns on the season with just four interceptions. A big reason for Klubnik’s success has been Mafah and the rushing attack. Mafah has rushed for over 100 yards in four of his last five games and is just under 1,000 yards on the campaign. The ground game has done a great job of setting up the play-action attack for Klubnik and Co.

Phil Mafah went for 128 yards on 26 carries in the win against Virginia Tech, his sixth 100+ yard rushing game of the season.

[📽️ ACC Network] pic.twitter.com/YMJALcGuCG

— ClemsonSportsNetwork (@ClemsonSportNet) November 10, 2024

Clemson is averaging 37.7 points per game, which is good for third in the ACC. They are also second in the conference in rushing yards per game, averaging just under 200.

The Tigers defense has been stout as well. Last week was a big win for Clemson. They bounced back nicely on the road against Virginia Tech, and the defense was a key player in that. The Tigers shut out Virginia Tech in three quarters, allowed just 40 rushing yards, and gave up under 200 yards passing. In conference play, specifically, the Clemson defense has stepped up. They average 6.71 tackles for loss in ACC games and are great at getting off the field. They are 12th in the country in third-down conversion rate.

Pitt Betting Trends

Pitt got off to an incredible 7-0 start but got blown out by ACC leader SMU two weeks ago. They followed that up with a tough loss to Virginia at home and are now in desperate need of a win heading into this game, especially with two road games on deck. The Panthers travel to Louisville next week and finish up their regular season at Boston College.

On the season, Pitt is 6-3 against the spread, but they have covered just once in their last four games. The Panthers are currently in fifth place in the ACC standings.

Pitt’s offense has slowed down over the last few weeks. Even in games where it looks like they scored a lot, the defense was the reason for the majority of the points. They have had a difficult time converting on third downs and thus have not been able to control the clock. Pitt has converted just 24% of their third-down attempts over their last four games. To make matters even worse, starting quarterback Eli Holstein is a game-time decision.

A bright spot for Pitt is their defense. They average over 8 tackles for loss in ACC play and rank 18th in the country in EPA/rush. The Panthers will need to shut down Clemson’s rushing game if they want to keep this pivotal matchup close.

Clemson vs Pitt Prediction

This Pitt team has completely fallen off over the past couple of weeks, and I believe that downfall will continue on Saturday vs Clemson. Last week’s win was very telling for this Clemson team and showed that they could bounce back and still have their eyes on the ACC Championship.

Pitt’s defense has been good and will cause some fits for Clemson’s offense, but on the other side of the ball, I do not see how the Panthers score. Clemson has outgained every single opponent they have played outside of their opening game vs Georgia.

Pitt will struggle to stay on the field with Clemsons’ defense causing havoc on first and second down. Then, Pitt has struggled to convert on third downs, which will allow Clemson to have the ball and control the time of possession and the game. Even if it starts off close, Clemson runs away with this one and moves to 8-2.

Clemson vs Pitt Pick: Clemson -11.5 (-110)

The 2024 ACC Showdown between Clemson and Pitt is shaping up to be one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the college football season. Both teams have had successful seasons in recent years, with Clemson consistently being a powerhouse in the ACC and Pitt making a name for themselves as a formidable opponent.

Clemson, led by head coach Dabo Swinney, has been a dominant force in the ACC for the past decade. The Tigers have consistently been ranked in the top 10 nationally and have made multiple appearances in the College Football Playoff. With star quarterback DJ Uiagalelei at the helm, Clemson’s offense is sure to be explosive and high-scoring.

On the other side, Pitt has been making waves in the ACC under head coach Pat Narduzzi. The Panthers have had some impressive wins in recent years, including a victory over Clemson in 2016. With quarterback Kenny Pickett leading the offense, Pitt has the potential to give Clemson a run for their money.

In terms of predictions, this game is sure to be a close one. Both teams have strong offenses and solid defenses, making it difficult to predict a clear winner. However, Clemson may have a slight edge due to their experience and success in big games.

As for the odds and spread, Clemson is likely to be favored in this matchup. The Tigers have a history of being a dominant force in the ACC, while Pitt is still working to establish themselves as a top contender. The spread may be close, but Clemson is likely to come out on top.

Overall, the 2024 ACC Showdown between Clemson and Pitt is sure to be an exciting game for college football fans. With two talented teams facing off, this matchup has the potential to be a high-scoring, back-and-forth battle that could come down to the wire. Be sure to tune in and see which team comes out on top in this highly anticipated showdown.