- The 4-5 Cincinnati Bengals visit the 6-3 Baltimore Ravens tonight on Thursday Night Football
- Two anytime-touchdown picks and a 300-yard passing game highlight tonight’s TNF same-game parlay
- Below, see all four legs of a +550 Bengals vs Ravens SGP for Thursday Night Football
I hope you like it when teams run up the score because that’s what we’re getting on both sides of the ball tonight when the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Baltimore Ravens. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 pm ET. If you’re betting with me tonight, or plan to after reading my SGP picks, you’ll undoubtedly be awaiting a sequel to Week 5’s wild matchup, when the Bengals and Ravens combined for 79 points, 962 yards, 10 touchdowns, and a safety, too!
Bengals vs Ravens Same-Game Parlay Picks
Picks | Odds |
---|---|
Total Alternate Over 50.5 | -150 |
Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown | -303 |
Ja’Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown | -125 |
Joe Burrow 300+ Passing Yards | +175 |
TOTAL CIN vs BAL SGP ODDS | +550 |
This week’s SGP bet for the NFL includes two anytime TD picks, a conservative game-total over, and a passing-yards over. All told, it adds up to +550, where a $100 bet will net a profit of $550, but only if all four legs hit.
Odds as of November 6th at BetMGM Sportsbook. Use the latest BetMGM bonus code before betting on Bengals vs Ravens.
Last week’s Texans vs Jets SGP marked the second-straight TNF SGP that was so close I could taste it: Joe Mixon got his touchdown and Tank Dell grabbed his receptions. But Houston couldn’t bring home a win, despite getting 69% of the moneyline handle according to the NFL public betting percentages, meaning the SGP came up just short.
Ian’s 2024 NFL SGP Record: 2-6, +10.33 units
Bengals vs Ravens Same-Game Parlay Pick #1: Over 50.5 Points
When the opening NFL Week 10 odds first came out, it didn’t take long for the Bengals vs Ravens line was just 47.5 points. As of Thursday morning, the Bengals vs Ravens odds show it as high as 53.5. Bettors love a deal when they can find one! But to move an O/U six points in just a few days can only mean one thing: these teams are really good at scoring.
After nine games, the Bengals and Ravens offenses respectively rank sixth and first in points scored and combined to score 79 points just over a month ago in Cincinnati. If that’s not statistical evidence, then I don’t know what is.
But wait, there’s more! The Ravens’ offense hasn’t just been good this year, they’ve been punishing: Baltimore has the second-best passing game and are first on the ground by nearly 250 yards.
The Bengals’ ground game isn’t nearly as rampant, but they do boast 2,127 passing yards, ranking sixth in the league. Both teams have also recorded 20 passing TDs so far, trailing only Tampa Bay’s twenty-three.
Factor in the Ravens’ league-worst pass defense (2,528 yards & 18 touchdowns) and the Bengals’ 227 points allowed, good for sixth-worst, and you’ve got the makings of another wild game that could push the total to eighty points or more.
So why am I going low with an O/U 50.5 when this game, to borrow a phrase good ol’ Jim Ross, is sure to be a slobberknocker?
It’s a short week for two teams who’ve already had a good look at one another. Taking an alternate O/U at -150 gives the SGP some wiggle room.
And for what it’s worth, the third-most frequently occurring total since the start of the 2019 NFL season has been exactly 51 points, while 36.3% of all NFL games over that time have gone over 50.5.
Bengals vs Ravens Same-Game Parlay Pick #2 & #3: Anytime Touchdowns for Derrick Henry & Ja’Marr Chase
It feels contrary to pick Anytime Touchdowns from two players on opposing teams, but its a no-brainer when those two players are the league’s rushing and receiving touchdown leaders.
Lamar Jackson may be the face of the Ravens offense, evident in how he’s the current favorite to win the NFL MVP award, but Derrick Henry arguably does the heavy-lifting.
Henry leads the league in rushing attempts, Y/G, and, most importantly, touchdowns. He’s also notched two receiving TDs, totaling 13 in just 9 games. There’s a reason he’s getting -303 to score Thursday night.
Derrick Henry in 2024:
Week 1: TD
Week 2: TD
Week 3: TD TD
Week 4: TD TD
Week 5: TD
Week 6: TD TD
Week 7: TD
Week 8: TD
Week 9: TD TD pic.twitter.com/RA3v8wxk7X— NFL Fantasy Football (@NFLFantasy) November 3, 2024
Of my two picks, Chase should be the one to give you pause, but again: this will be a high-scoring game, and Chase knows how to find the end zone.
As a receiver, Chase won’t provide the same scoring versatility as Henry; i.e. he won’t touch the ball nearly as often. However, his rate of return is still phenomenal, scoring seven times in nine games. Chase is also second in receiving yards, second in receiving 1st downs, and third in receptions, despite sitting just seventh in targets.
On top of it all, 5 of his 36 career TDs have come against Baltimore, the most he’s recorded against any one team (6, if you count the playoffs). Yes, frequently playing a division rival is like putting your thumb on the statistical scale, but that’s six TDs in eight games against a team whose defense is traditionally exceptional. This year, that isn’t the case for the Ravens, meaning a Chase touchdown is all but inevitable.
JA’MARR CHASE 70-YARD TD.
FIVE TOUCHDOWN PASSES FOR JOE BURROW.
📺: #BALvsCIN on CBS/Paramount+
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/XJKCC0bWOb— NFL (@NFL) October 6, 2024
Bengals vs Ravens Same-Game Parlay Pick #3: Joe Burrow 300+ Passing Yards
This is where the SGP gets spicy. This Joe Burrow over in the Bengals vs Ravens player props is the only plus-money leg, but one that has a great chance of hitting.
Burrow’s broken 300 yards in 20 of 61 career NFL games, but has done so only twice this season. However, one of those games came just a month ago against the Ravens, when Burrow nearly put up 392 yards and 5 TDs.
In nine career games against Baltimore, Burrow has surpassed 300+ yards just three times, this year and twice during the 2021 season, when Burrow threw for 416 and 525 yards.
But what do the 2021 Baltimore Ravens have in common with this year’s team? They also owned the worst pass defense in the league.
It stands to reason that if the Ravens secondary is struggling, Joe Burrow will expose it. And if Burrow scowls as hard as he did last week, there’s a good chance he’ll hang five TDs on them, too.
-
BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD250 & BET $10, GET $250 IN BONUSES (MI, NJ, PA, WV ONLY)
-
BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD200 & BET $10, GET $250 IN BONUSES (AZ, CO, DC, MA, MD, NC, VA ONLY)
-
BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS + 2ND CHANCE TD CASHBACK
-
21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (US); 1-800-327-5050 (MA); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-981-0023 (PR). First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Rewards are non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 7 days. See BetMGM.com for Terms. US promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
As the Cincinnati Bengals prepare to take on the Baltimore Ravens in Thursday Night Football for Week 10, fans and bettors alike are looking for the best same-game parlay picks to maximize their potential winnings. Both teams are coming off strong performances in Week 9, with the Bengals defeating the Browns and the Ravens taking down the Vikings.
When it comes to same-game parlays, it’s important to consider a variety of factors such as player performance, team trends, and key matchups. For this matchup between the Bengals and Ravens, there are several key players and scenarios to keep an eye on.
One of the top same-game parlay picks for this matchup is to bet on Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow to have a strong performance. Burrow has been playing at a high level this season, throwing for over 2,500 yards and 20 touchdowns. Against a tough Ravens defense, Burrow will need to be on top of his game to lead the Bengals to victory.
Another solid pick for this game is to bet on Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson to have a big game. Jackson is known for his dual-threat abilities as a passer and runner, and he has been a key factor in the Ravens’ success this season. Look for Jackson to make plays with his arm and his legs against the Bengals defense.
In terms of key matchups to watch, keep an eye on the battle between the Bengals’ wide receivers and the Ravens’ secondary. Bengals wideouts Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have been dynamic playmakers this season, while the Ravens boast a strong secondary led by cornerback Marlon Humphrey. This matchup could be a determining factor in the outcome of the game.
Overall, when putting together a same-game parlay for the Bengals vs Ravens matchup, it’s important to consider all aspects of the game and make informed decisions based on player performance, team trends, and key matchups. By doing so, you can increase your chances of hitting on a successful parlay and walking away with a nice payout. Good luck!