- The Packers are 3-point favorites over the Dolphins in Week 13’s Thanksgiving Day finale
- Miami has won three straight and sits eighth in the AFC playoff picture
- Check out the Dolphins vs Packers odds, picks and prediction below
Chasing down a Wild Card berth in the AFC, the Miami Dolphins (5-6) look for a fourth straight win when they travel to Green Bay to take on the Packers (8-3) to close out the Thursday Thanksgiving Day slate. The football betting lines are of course taking into account Miami’s woes in a cold-weather climate, but is this edition of the Dolphins built different?
Dolphins vs Packers Odds
| Teams | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | +3 (+100) | +150 | O 47.0 (-110) |
| Green Pay Packers | -3 (-120) | -178 | U 47.0 (-110) |
After thoroughly pummeling San Francisco last game, the Packers are rightful 3-point favorites at home for this one, with a total set at 47 points.
Odds as of Nov 27 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the best Caesars Sportsbook promos before placing a bet on NFL Week 13.
The NFL public betting percentages can’t shake the fact Miami with Tagovailoa at QB is 0-7 in sub 40-degree temperatures. No less than 80% of the betting public is backing the Pack, with 79% of the money on Green Bay as well.
Kickoff goes at 8:20pm ET from frigid Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI. NBC is carrying the broadcast.
Tua Tagovailoa Sparking Dolphins Offense
Miami has crept to within two games of seventh-place Denver in the AFC playoff picture, and competent QB play from Tua Tagovailoa has been a big part of the story.
Tua has been the offensive catalyst for the Dolphins, as the team has averaged 29 points in the five games since he returned from a concussion, including a current three-game win streak.
Tua no look to Waddle on the TD pass pic.twitter.com/4UWb1qWQJ3
— FinsCentral (@finscentral) November 25, 2024
That’s a far cry from a team that went 1-3 when he as out, scoring 40 points total.
Tagovailoa was a crisp 29-for-4o against the Patriots in Week 12, throwing for 317 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions.
Miami has put up back-to-back 34-point efforts, but those were against the Raiders and Patriots, and they’ll be leveling up on a short week in cold weather.
Pack Looking Up at NFC North Rivals
The Packers are feeling good after trouncing the 49ers, and at 8-3, they currently sit in sixth spot in the NFC, with a chance to claim fifth over the rival Vikings, and an outside shot at catching the NFC North-leading Lions who currently own the top seed in the conference.
It was the first game Jordan Love didn’t throw an interception in a game this season, but he was more game manager than distant contender in the NFL MVP odds.
Weather and game script had Love throw just 23 times for 163 yards and a pair of TDs.
Instead, the Packers rode workhorse back Josh Jacobs. The ex-Raider piled up 106 yards on 26 totes and found the endzone three times.
Josh Jacobs hat trick! 🎩 🎩 🎩
📺: #SFvsGB on FOX
📱: https://t.co/waVpO8ZBqG pic.twitter.com/eP1rFbnUj6— NFL (@NFL) November 25, 2024
Another cold-weather game might call for more Jacobs, especially considering the Dolphins are allowing just 197.5 passing yards per game this season.
However, during this three-game win streak, quarterbacks Drake Maye, Gardner Minshew and Matt Stafford have all thrown for at least 282 yards.
Dolphins vs Packers Prediction
The numbers aren’t great, as the Dolphins have just two wins in their last 16 games as an underdog, while the Packers have dominated this head-to-head of late, going 5-1-0 against the spread in their last six vs Miami.
Green Bay has also ripped off six straight wins again non-conference opponents.
There’s a lot going against Miami, but the one thing that might be different is their ability to play gritty football.
📊 Miami Dolphins defensive turnaround this season:
➖ First 7 games: 9 sacks, 5 takeaways, 10 rushing TDs allowed
➖ Last 3 games: 9 sacks, 5 takeaways, 0 rushing TDs allowed
Anthony Weaver’s defense 📈 (@NFLonCBS) #GoFins pic.twitter.com/AZKFHlD4Nw
— FinsXtra (@FinsXtra) November 24, 2024
They bring a Top-10 run defense into Lambeau, and neutralizing Josh Jacobs is a good way to stay in a game, and get Tua and his offense on the field more.
If this game is played at the Dolphins’ pace, I think this one gives the scoreboard a workout: Miami has hit the over in four of the last five. Forcing this into a shootout with an interception-prone Love might not guarantee a win, but it’s the best shot they have.
- Pick: Over 47 points (-110)
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As Thanksgiving 2024 approaches, football fans are eagerly anticipating the matchup between the Miami Dolphins and the Green Bay Packers. Both teams have had successful seasons so far, making this game a highly anticipated one for fans and bettors alike.
The Dolphins, led by their star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, have been on a hot streak this season. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, with Tagovailoa connecting with his talented receiving corps for big plays. The Dolphins defense has also been solid, shutting down opposing offenses and giving their team a chance to win every game.
On the other side of the field, the Packers have been led by future Hall of Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers has been playing at an MVP level this season, throwing for numerous touchdowns and leading his team to victory in close games. The Packers offense is one of the most potent in the league, with Rodgers able to make plays both with his arm and his legs.
When it comes to predicting the outcome of this Thanksgiving matchup, it is sure to be a close one. Both teams have strong offenses and solid defenses, making for an exciting game that could go either way. However, early betting odds have the Packers as slight favorites to win the game, likely due to their experience and the leadership of Rodgers.
As for the betting lines, they are expected to be tight as well. With two evenly matched teams facing off, it will be crucial for bettors to do their research and consider all factors before placing their bets. Whether you are a fan of the Dolphins or the Packers, this Thanksgiving matchup is sure to be one for the books.
In conclusion, Thanksgiving 2024 is shaping up to be an exciting day for football fans, with the Dolphins and Packers set to face off in a highly anticipated matchup. With both teams having successful seasons so far, this game is sure to be a close one that could go either way. Bettors should keep an eye on the betting odds and lines leading up to the game, as they are expected to be tight. No matter the outcome, football fans can look forward to a thrilling game between two talented teams on Thanksgiving Day.