- The Denver Nuggets are 4-point favorites over the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight
- The Timberwolves have won five straight since Julius Randle’s return from injury
- See the Timberwolves vs Nuggets predictions, picks and props to target, below
A rematch of last year’s Western Conference semifinal is on tap tonight as the Minnesota Timberwolves (37-29, 19-15 away) visit the Denver Nuggets (47-23, 22-9 home). Online sportsbooks are expecting a close contest in the latest NBA odds, siding with Denver as home chalk. Tip-off is scheduled for 7pm PT / 10pm ET at Ball Arena, in Denver, CO, with ESPN providing the coverage.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Odds
The Nuggets are currently favored by 4-points, in a contest with a total of 235. Per the NBA public betting trends, the spread has moved half a point in Denver’s favor since opening odds were released, while the over/under is up half a point as well. The Nuggets are listed at -170 on the moneyline, with Minnesota coming back as +142 underdogs.
Odds as of March 12 at DraftKings. See the DraftKings promo code details before signing up.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction
My analysis for this contest starts with the red-hot Timberwolves. Minnesota enters play winners of five straight, which coincides directly with the return of Julius Randle. The 30-year-old missed over a month with a groin injury, but has been awesome in his return.
He’s averaging 18 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists in five games back, shooting 46% along the way. The T-Wolves won the last five games Randle played before getting hurt, and four of their five wins on this latest streak have come by 14+ points.
Also working in Minny’s favor is the return of Rudy Gobert. The staple in the defensive playoff of the year odds, is scheduled to make his second start in a row after missing nearly a month. He was excellent on Sunday, putting up 16 points and 8 boards in only 20 minutes.
Gobert’s presence is paramount given how well Nikola Jokic is playing. The perennial NBA MVP odds contender is on an absolute heater. He’s averaging 26/16/11 over his last seven games, and pulled off a truly historic feat last Friday.
Jokic racked up a triple-double early in the third quarter of a win over Phoenix. By the time the game ended, he had put up another 10+ points, rebounds, and assists. It was the first 30/20/20 game in NBA history, and his 29th triple-double this season.
No one is capable of shutting down Jokic, but Gobert is maybe the best option in the NBA to keep him in check. For his career, Jokic averages 21 points, 10 rebounds and 8 assists in games versus Gobert. Impressive numbers yes, but a step down from his regular production.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pick
- Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pick: Timberwolves +4 (-108)
At the other end of the floor, Gobert has had a good deal of success versus Jokic. Gobert averages 14 points and 11 boards lifetime in matchups with Jokic. That’s a step up in production from his season long and career numbers.
That’s not the lone reason why I’m betting the T-Wolves plus the points, but it plays into the decision. I have zero interest in fading Minnesota now that Randle and Gobert are back. They’re number one in Net Rating over the last five games, second in offensive rating, and top-10 defensively.
The T-Wolves are 9-5 against the spread as road dogs, and 2-0 straight up versus Denver this season. The Nuggets are also down a top-five scorer and rebounder in Aaron Gordon, and have a worse net and defensive rating without him.
MIN vs DEN Player Props
NBA props from DraftKings Sportsbook on March 10.
- MIN vs DEN Player Prop pick: Rudy Gobert Over 21.5 Pts+Reb (-105)
Back to Gobert, who I’m targeting in the props market. My best bet is over 21.5 points and rebounds. It’s a number well below his career average in matchups versus Gobert, and one he easily cleared in his first game back. In two games against Jokic this season, he’s put up 14+ points in both outings, along with 14+ rebounds.
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The Minnesota Timberwolves will be facing off against the Denver Nuggets on March 12th in what promises to be an exciting matchup between two talented teams. As fans gear up for the game, many are looking to make predictions, picks, and prop bets to add some extra excitement to the event. Here are some key factors to consider when making your predictions for the Timberwolves vs Nuggets game.
One of the biggest factors to consider when making predictions for this game is the recent performance of both teams. The Timberwolves have been on a hot streak lately, winning seven of their last ten games and climbing up the standings in the Western Conference. On the other hand, the Nuggets have been struggling as of late, losing four of their last five games and slipping down in the standings.
Another important factor to consider is the head-to-head matchup between these two teams. The Timberwolves and Nuggets have faced off twice already this season, with each team winning one game apiece. In their most recent matchup, the Timberwolves came out on top with a convincing 124-107 victory. This could give them a psychological edge heading into their upcoming game.
When it comes to making picks for this game, one player to keep an eye on is Karl-Anthony Towns of the Timberwolves. Towns has been playing at an elite level recently, averaging 24.8 points and 10.6 rebounds per game. He will be a key player for the Timberwolves in their matchup against the Nuggets, and could be a difference-maker in determining the outcome of the game.
On the Nuggets side, Nikola Jokic will be a player to watch. Jokic is having an MVP-caliber season, averaging 26.5 points, 11 rebounds, and 8.6 assists per game. He will be a tough matchup for the Timberwolves, and could be a major factor in helping the Nuggets secure a win.
In terms of prop bets to target for this game, one option to consider is betting on the total points scored. Both the Timberwolves and Nuggets have high-powered offenses, so this game could see a lot of scoring. Another prop bet to consider is betting on which team will have more three-pointers made. Both teams have sharpshooters who can knock down shots from beyond the arc, so this could be a close matchup.
Overall, the Timberwolves vs Nuggets game on March 12th promises to be an exciting matchup between two talented teams. By considering factors such as recent performance, head-to-head matchups, key players, and prop bets, fans can make informed predictions and picks for this game. Whether you’re rooting for the Timberwolves or Nuggets, this game is sure to provide plenty of entertainment for basketball fans.