Analysis of Public-Betting Splits and Final Injury Reports for Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

• The Buffalo Bills visit the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC title game on Jan. 26
• The public is betting heavily on the Bills to cover the spread as slight road underdogs
• Below, see the Bills vs Chiefs public bettings splits and final injury reports

The Buffalo Bills (15-4, 5-4 away, 12-7 ATS) and Kansas City Chiefs (16-2, 9-0 home, 8-10 ATS) meet in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game with a berth in Super Bowl 59 on the line for the winner. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, the two-time defending Super Bowl champions, are riding an eight-game postseason win streak and have eliminated the Bills in three of the last four playoffs. Yet the public is bucking historical trends and siding with the Bills to cover as small road underdogs in Sunday’s NFL odds.

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Public Betting Splits

As of Sunday morning, Buffalo is getting 76% of ATS handle as two-point road underdogs along with 75% of ATS wagers, leaving just 24% of money on the Chiefs to cover, even though the line is less than a field goal.

NFL public betting splits as of 9:35 am ET, January 26. Check out SBD’s list of Visa betting sites before the AFC Championship Game.

The public is having a hard time fading the Chiefs on the moneyline. Currently, both the Bills (+112) and Chiefs (-125) are getting exactly 50% of moneyline handle. On average, the larger bets are on Buffalo to win, as the Bills are getting 50% of handle on just 43% of the tickets. My colleague Chris Amberley is one person who isn’t betting on the Chiefs’ win streak to end, taking KC to win and cover in his Bills vs Chiefs Picks & Predictions.

The public’s strongest lean is on the game total. After dropping a full point from 49.5 to 48.5, the public is hammering the over. As of 9:37 am ET, 83% of game-total handle was on the over along with 78% of O/U wagers. This comes despite the Bills and Chiefs going a combined 0-2-1 O/U so far in the postseason. KC is 7-11 O/U including the regular season while the Bills are 11-7-1.

BUF Bills vs KC Chiefs Injury Report

The final Bills vs Chiefs injury reports on Friday showed something ultra-rare for an NFL team this deep into the season: the KC injury report listed zero players with an injury designation of any kind.

That doesn’t mean KC has its full complement of players who started the season. Several significant contributors have landed on IR at various points of the season, including WRs Mecole Hardman, Rashee Rice, and Skyy Moore. But it does mean that KC will head into the AFC Championship with basically the same team it’s been fielding for the past three months.

The Bills weren’t as lucky on the injury front last week. Buffalo lost safety Taylor Rapp (82 tackles, two INTs, six PDs in 14 games) to a back/hip injury in its 27-25 win over Baltimore. Making matters even worse in the Bills secondary, starting right corner Christian Benford (64 tackles,two INTs, one sack, 10 PDs) is listed as questionable due to a concussion, also suffered in the win over the Ravens.

Benford was a limited participant at practice on Wednesday and Thursday, and did not practice on Friday, though the stated reason was “personal”. So his Friday absence may not have been related to his injury.

As the Buffalo Bills prepare to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in a highly anticipated matchup, fans and bettors alike are eagerly awaiting the release of the final injury reports and public-betting splits. These two factors can play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the game and can provide valuable insights for those looking to place a wager on the game.

In terms of public-betting splits, these numbers can give us a glimpse into where the majority of bettors are placing their money. This information can be valuable for bettors looking to gauge the overall sentiment surrounding the game and can help them make more informed decisions when placing their bets. For example, if a large percentage of the public is betting on the Bills to cover the spread, this could indicate that there is a strong belief in their ability to perform well against the Chiefs.

On the other hand, the final injury reports can also have a significant impact on the outcome of the game. Injuries to key players can greatly affect a team’s performance and can shift the odds in favor of their opponent. For example, if a star player for the Bills is ruled out due to injury, this could potentially give the Chiefs an advantage and influence the outcome of the game.

When analyzing both the public-betting splits and final injury reports for the Bills vs Chiefs matchup, it is important to consider all factors at play. While public sentiment and injuries can provide valuable insights, it is also essential to take into account other factors such as team performance, coaching strategies, and historical matchups between the two teams.

Ultimately, by carefully analyzing these factors and staying informed on the latest developments leading up to the game, bettors can make more educated decisions when placing their wagers. Whether you are a seasoned bettor or just a casual fan looking to add some excitement to the game, paying attention to public-betting splits and final injury reports can help you make more informed decisions and potentially increase your chances of success.