Analysis of LA Lakers vs DEN Nuggets Game: Odds, Player Props, Picks & Predictions for February 22nd

  • The Denver Nuggets are 7-point home favorites over the LA Lakers tonight
  • LA’s Luka Doncic (calf) will play after sitting out Thursday’s win
  • See the Lakers vs Nuggets odds, player props, picks and predictions, below

Two of the West’s top-five teams meet tonight when the LA Lakers (33-21, 14-14 away) visit the Denver Nuggets (37-19, 20-8 home). Denver is riding the league’s longest active winning streak at nine games, and online sportsbooks expect their winning ways to continue per the latest NBA odds.

Tip-off is scheduled for 5:40pm PT / 8:40pm ET at Ball Arena, in Denver, CO, with ABC and ESPN+ providing the broadcast coverage.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The Nuggets are currently favored by 7-points, in a contest with a total of 241. Per the NBA public betting trends, the spread has moved half a point in Denver’s favor, while the total is up 1.5 points from its opener. The Nuggets are -270 moneyline favorites, with LA coming back as +220 underdogs.

Odds as of Feb. 22 at Caesars. Check out SBD’s Caesars Sportsbook review to see the available sign-up bonuses.

Luka Doncic Injury Update

The big news heading into this contest is the health of Luka Doncic. LA’s prized acquisition sat out Thursday’s win over Portland as he manages a calf strain, but he will suit up tonight. That’s big for the Lakers providing he can flash signs of what made him great in Dallas.

LA enters play having lost 13 of its last 14 versus Denver. That includes their lone meeting this year, as well as a 1-8 postseason record versus against the Nuggets over the last two years.

Doncic has been underwhelming in his first three games as a Laker, but maybe a national audience will get him going. He’s averaging 14.7 points per game for LA, on 35.6% shooting. LA is 1-2 in those contests, losing to the second-worst team in each conference (Charlotte and Utah).

LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Predictions

  • Denver Nuggets -7 (-110) at Caesars

Without Luka on Thursday, the Lakers nearly dropped another game to a cellar dweller. In the end, they narrowly prevailed over Portland, but it took LeBron James turning back the clock to make it happen. James poured in 40 points in 36 minutes of work. It was his second 40+ point game in his last five outings, after dropping 42 versus Golden State two weeks ago.

LeBron’s usage rate was sky-high on Thursday, but that shouldn’t be the case with Luka in the lineup. The Lakers are still figuring out how to manage the two stars, but in order for the partnership to work Luka is going to have to be handed the keys to the offense at some point.

LA ranks 20th in offensive rating so far with Doncic in the lineup. On too many possessions he’s merely a decoy, and he needs to the ball in his hands for the magic to happen. The change won’t happen overnight, but once his conditioning improves, the Lakers will look more like an NBA Championship odds contender.

Speaking of title contenders, the Nuggets have been unstoppable lately. Denver has racked up seven straight double-digit victories. Nikola Jokic is averaging a triple-double this season (29.7 / 12.7 / 10.2), while Jamal Murray is fresh off 55 and 34-point outbursts.

The Nuggets lead the league in offensive rating and true shooting percentage this month. Denver is second in NET rating, and top-10 in defensive rating. They’ve splashed at least 122 points in seven of nine games, and Jokic should feast versus Jaxon Hayes in the middle of the LA defense.

Until Doncic gets into game shape and LA finds an answer at center, continue to back the Nuggets in this head-to-head matchup.

LAL vs DEN Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on February 22.

Switching over to the player props market now, where under 8.5 points for Hayes is the target. Hayes is the fifth option among starters, and doesn’t see enough volume to clear this number. He averages less than four shots per game with Luka in the lineup, and the lone time he cleared this total he needed a perfect shooting night to do so.

LA’s entire goal on offense is to create a mismatch for either Doncic, James or Austin Reaves. Hayes is an afterthought. To make matters worse, he has to guard Jokic. That’s likely going to lead to foul trouble and potentially a reduction in minutes. As for his own offense, he doesn’t get to the line and he doesn’t shoot threes. Taking the under is an easy play.

  • Prop Pick: Jaxson Hayes Under 8.5 Points (-130) at Caesars
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The Los Angeles Lakers will face off against the Denver Nuggets on February 22nd in what is sure to be an exciting matchup between two of the top teams in the Western Conference. Both teams have been playing well this season and are looking to secure a playoff spot.

The odds for this game are currently in favor of the Lakers, who are listed as -3.5 point favorites. The over/under for the game is set at 220 points, indicating that oddsmakers are expecting a high-scoring affair.

When it comes to player props, there are a few key players to keep an eye on in this game. For the Lakers, LeBron James is always a threat to put up big numbers, both in scoring and assists. Anthony Davis is also a player to watch, as he has the ability to dominate on both ends of the court.

On the Nuggets side, Nikola Jokic is the player to watch. The big man is having an MVP-caliber season and is capable of putting up triple-doubles on any given night. Jamal Murray is another player to keep an eye on, as he has the ability to get hot from beyond the arc and score in bunches.

As for picks and predictions for this game, it’s always tough to predict the outcome of an NBA game with certainty. However, based on recent form and matchups, the Lakers seem to have the edge in this game. Their defense has been solid all season, and they have the star power to outscore the Nuggets.

In conclusion, the Lakers vs Nuggets game on February 22nd promises to be a thrilling matchup between two top teams in the Western Conference. With LeBron James and Anthony Davis leading the way for the Lakers, they have a good chance of coming out on top in this game. However, with Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray leading the charge for the Nuggets, anything can happen. It will be a game worth watching for any NBA fan.