Analysis of BYU vs Alabama Odds, Score Predictions & Betting Splits for Sweet 16 Matchup

• The #6 BYU Cougars are underdogs to the #2 Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2025 Sweet 16
• The game total is by far the highest on the board among all eight Sweet 16 games
• Below, see the closing BYU vs Alabama odds plus score predictions for Thursday’s game in Newark

The Sweet 16 starts on Thursday night at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ, with the #6 BYU Cougars (26-9, 22-13 ATS) facing the #2 Alabama Crimson Tide (27-8, 20-15 ATS) in the East Region semifinal at 7:09 pm ET. The Tide opened as 4.5-point favorites last weekend and the spread has only grown in the last few days, as has the total.

BYU vs Alabama Odds

The BYU vs Alabama point spread is sitting at Tide -5.5 as of Thursday afternoon, up one point from the opening line of Alabama -4.5. The Tide moneyline has also shortened, going from -205 to -223, while BYU’s odds to win straight-up have grown from +170 to +180.

Odds as of March 27 at BetMGM. Claim the best March Madness betting promos for the Sweet 16.

The game total has also been on the move. After opening at 174.5, which was a full 20 points higher than any other total on the board in the Sweet 16, the O/U has risen one point to 175.5, still with -110 odds each way.

While the analytics agree that BYU/Alabama is going to be the highest-scoring game of the Sweet 16 – by a wide margin – the current upward movement in the total isn’t exactly supported by the projections at KenPom, Haslam, or Torvik.

BYU vs Alabama Score Predictions

All three sites have the total points in the range from 173 to 175, with the margin of victory from Alabama -3 to -5. KenPom has both the lowest total (173) and the biggest margin of victory for the Tide (five points).

Not coincidentally, KenPom also rates BYU far lower than Haslametrics and Torvik. The Cougars are just 24th in overall Net Rating at KenPom, compared to 15th at Haslam and as high as 12th at Torvik.

Alabama is currently the sixth-favorite in the March Madness championship odds at +1800, well ahead of BYU at +7000. Only three of the 16 remaining teams have longer odds: Purdue (+7500), Ole Miss (+7500), and Arkansas (+10000).

Alabama vs BYU Public Betting Splits

The ATS betting splits for BYU vs Alabama are, so far, siding with the Cougars. BYU is getting 58% of ATS wagers and a significant 64% of ATS handle, leaving just 36% of the ATS money on the Tide to cover as 4.5-point favorites.

However, the situation is flipped – to the extreme – when looking at the moneyline splits. Alabama is currently getting 84% of moneyline tickets along with 79% of moneyline handle, which means only 21% of the money is on the Cougars to win straight up.

Unsurprisingly given the line movement, the public is also betting pretty heavily on the over. As of 4:00 pm ET, 66% of game-total wagers and an identical 66% of game-total handle were on over 175.5.

The Sweet 16 matchup between Brigham Young University (BYU) and the University of Alabama is shaping up to be an exciting and closely contested game. Both teams have had impressive seasons so far, with BYU coming off a strong performance in the first two rounds of the NCAA tournament and Alabama securing a dominant win over Maryland in the second round.

When it comes to the odds for this matchup, Alabama is currently favored to win by 4.5 points according to most sportsbooks. This is not surprising given Alabama’s strong performance throughout the season, including winning the SEC regular-season title and making it to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2004. However, BYU has proven to be a resilient and talented team, so this game could easily go either way.

In terms of score predictions, experts are expecting a high-scoring game between these two teams. Both BYU and Alabama have potent offenses that can put up points in a hurry, so fans can expect a fast-paced and exciting game. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 148.5 points, indicating that oddsmakers are expecting a high-scoring affair.

When it comes to betting splits, the public seems to be slightly favoring Alabama in this matchup. According to betting data, around 55% of bets are currently being placed on Alabama to cover the spread, while 45% are backing BYU. This suggests that there is a slight lean towards Alabama among bettors, but BYU is certainly not being overlooked in this matchup.

Overall, the BYU vs Alabama Sweet 16 matchup is shaping up to be a thrilling game between two talented teams. With both teams having the potential to put up big numbers on offense, fans can expect an exciting and high-scoring contest. Whether you’re rooting for BYU or Alabama, this game is sure to be one that basketball fans won’t want to miss.