Predicting the 2025 NFL Draft Position Over/Unders and Early Value Opportunities

• 2025 NFL Draft Position odds have been released ahead of draft night on Apr. 23
• Jaxson Dart, Colston Loveland, and Jalon Walker are my top value plays based on opening projections
• Read below for our analysis on these NFL prospects and where to find the best draft position values

The 2025 NFL Draft is less than three weeks away, and while most of the attention remains focused on Miami quarterback Cameron Ward (-2000 to go first overall), smart bettors are already finding value in the draft position props now available at sportsbooks.

DraftKings Sportsbook has released an extensive menu of draft position over/unders, offering plenty of opportunities to put your player evaluation skills to the test. Let’s break down some of the best values on the board.

NFL Draft Position Odds

Odds as of April 4th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Jalon Walker odds currently only available at Bet365 Sportsboook.

Jaxson Dart Draft Position Odds & Value

If you’re searching for a bet with solid value, look no further than Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart’s draft position.

The current odds suggest he’s likely (66.7% implied probability) to be picked in the first round, but there are real reasons to question this.

The most concerning issue appears in his game film. Per PFF, when Dart threw to his initial read, his 92.9 PFF passing grade was the second-highest in the FBS. When he was forced to get off that initial read and flip to the other side of the field, his PFF passing grade dropped to 60.3, ranking 63rd. This processing limitation could seriously hinder his NFL transition.

One report even named Dart among “Players Most Likely to Be Overdrafted,” noting that “an NFC executive agreed that first-round talk is misguided,” citing Lane Kiffin’s system at Ole Miss as “a ‘mess’ for incoming NFL quarterbacks” that “doesn’t translate” well to the NFL.

Teams picking late in round one usually aren’t QB desperate, and second-tier quarterbacks often slide to day two. With Ward, Sanders, and others ahead of him, Dart falling out of round one looks like a real possibility.

• Pick: Jaxson Dart Over 24.5 (+160)

Colston Loveland Draft Position Odds & Value

Michigan tight end Colston Loveland offers another opportunity to capitalize on positional tendencies in the draft.

Loveland’s talent isn’t the issue. At 6’5″ and 245 pounds, he’s a fluid athlete with great hands who creates mismatches from multiple spots. He grabbed 56 catches for 582 yards and five TDs in just 10 games last season.

But two big factors work against Loveland going in the top 19: positional value and blocking concerns.

Tight ends rarely go early in round one unless they’re truly special. Even Brock Bowers, called a generational talent, fell to pick 13 last year. Loveland’s blocking is his most notable weakness according to multiple scouts. He got below-average PFF grades as both a pass and run blocker, struggling with pad level and leverage.

The +120 odds on the over 19.5 suggest just a 45.5% chance of this happening. Given how tight ends typically fall and Loveland’s specific issues, this bet looks like solid value.

• Pick: Colston Loveland Over 19.5 (+120)

Jalon Walker NFL Draft Over/Under Prediction

Georgia linebacker/edge defender Jalon Walker might be the most interesting bet on the board.

The heavy juice on the under 8.5 (-250) suggests a 71.4% chance Walker goes in the top 8. This matches his elite talent – Walker won the Butkus Award as college football’s top linebacker while showing he can play multiple positions.

But several factors could push Walker down draft boards. The top of this draft has multiple QB-needy teams, and offensive tackles are in high demand. If Ward, Sanders, and top OTs like Will Campbell and Armand Membou dominate early picks, a talented defender like Walker could slide.

Also, some scouts view Walker as a tweener – not quite the traditional size for an edge rusher, which might worry teams looking for a pure pass rush specialist.

At +200 (33.3% implied probability), the over 8.5 offers great value for a player who could easily get pushed down by position value concerns and team needs.

• Pick: Jalon Walker Over 8.5 (+200)

Mykel Williams NFL Draft Positon Prediction

Georgia defensive end Mykel Williams gives us a chance to hit the Under at a plus-money price.

At 6’5″ and 260 pounds with impressive 34.5-inch arms, Williams brings an explosive first step and versatility. Despite fighting injuries in 2024, he showed up big late in the season, racking up two sacks against Texas and another pair in the SEC Championship game.

While the -130 for Over 15.5 suggests he might slip past the mid-first, teams like the Steelers (12th) or Ravens (15th) could easily grab Williams earlier than expected. His upside and position value point toward the Under, making it a strong play at plus money.

• Pick: Mykel Williams Under 15.5 (+100)

As draft night gets closer, these lines will keep moving. The smart play is to jump on these values now, while oddsmakers are still sorting through all the noise and finalizing their boards.

As the 2025 NFL Draft approaches, football fans and analysts alike are already speculating on which players will be selected in the first round and where they will land. While it may seem like a daunting task to predict the draft position of each player, there are some key factors that can help determine where a player may fall in the draft.

One of the most important factors to consider when predicting draft position is a player’s performance in college. Scouts and NFL teams closely monitor a player’s statistics, game film, and overall performance to gauge their potential at the next level. Players who excel in college and showcase their skills against top competition are more likely to be selected early in the draft.

Another factor to consider is a player’s physical attributes and measurables. NFL teams place a high value on players who possess elite size, speed, and athleticism, as these traits can translate to success at the professional level. Players who excel in the NFL Combine and showcase their physical talents are often highly sought after by teams in the draft.

In addition to performance and physical attributes, a player’s injury history and off-field behavior can also impact their draft position. Teams are wary of selecting players with a history of injuries or off-field issues, as these can be red flags for potential problems in the future. Players who can stay healthy and out of trouble off the field are more likely to be selected early in the draft.

When predicting draft position over/unders and early value opportunities, it’s important to consider all of these factors and more. By analyzing a player’s college performance, physical attributes, injury history, and off-field behavior, analysts can make informed predictions on where a player may land in the draft. Additionally, keeping an eye on mock drafts, expert opinions, and team needs can also provide valuable insight into potential draft outcomes.

Overall, predicting the 2025 NFL Draft position over/unders and early value opportunities requires a thorough analysis of each player’s strengths and weaknesses, as well as an understanding of team needs and draft trends. While it may be difficult to predict with certainty where each player will land, taking these factors into account can help increase the accuracy of draft predictions and identify potential value opportunities for teams looking to improve their rosters.